PENSACOLA, Fla. — A federal judge said Tuesday he will likely dismiss only parts of a lawsuit by 20 states challenging the Obama administration’s health care overhaul as unconstitutional, though he didn’t specifically say what portions.

The Obama administration had asked U.S. District Judge Roger Vinson to dismiss the entire lawsuit. The states and the administration disagree over whether people should be required to have health insurance, and whether states should pay additional Medicaid costs not covered by the federal government.

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Protesters rally in Miami. The states and the administration disagree over whether people should be required to have health insurance, and whether states should pay additional Medicaid costs not covered by the federal government. 2009 Associated Press file

The judge said he will issue a ruling by Oct. 14. The lawsuit is likely to wind up before the U.S. Supreme Court.

If Vinson upholds the states’ challenge, he would overturn decades of law enforcing the federal government’s power to regulate interstate commerce, said Ian Heath Gershengorn, deputy assistant attorney general.

“This court is free to disagree with Congress’ policy judgments but it is not free to overturn 75 years of Constitutional law,” he said.

Administration attorneys also argued that the section requiring health insurance doesn’t take effect until 2015 and it’s up to an individual taxpayer to challenge the law then.

But David Rifkin, an attorney representing the states, argued the law will destroy the states’ Constitutional sovereignty by burdening them with uncontrolled Medicaid costs. The federal government is over reaching its taxing authority by penalizing people for not taking an action — not purchasing health insurance, he said.

The judge questioned whether the administration was correct in arguing that all Americans are active participants in the health care system regardless of whether they choose to have health insurance and are therefore subject to penalties under the government’s authority to regulate commerce.

Health insurance is the mechanism to regulate the health care market, Gershengorn said.

“The healthiest individual can be hit by a bus. He cannot keep himself out of the health care market,” Gershengorn said.

But Rifkin likened the health care law to the subprime mortgage crisis.

“If this cost shifting is allowed then it would let the government demand that people buy a prescribed package of mortgages,” he said.

Florida’s Republican Attorney General Bill McCollum filed the lawsuit just minutes after President Obama signed the 10-year, $938 billion health care bill into law last March.

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