The credit rating agency Moody’s Investors Service has warned that the decision by Maine voters to expand Medicaid might make it more difficult for the state to keep its budget balanced.

The statewide referendum Tuesday made about 70,000 low-income citizens eligible for Medicaid. Thirty-one other states have already expanded Medicaid, but Maine was the first to do it through a public vote, despite opposition from Republicans such as Gov. Paul LePage.

Moody’s released a report Wednesday that said the move “may increase budget pressure for the state.” The expansion will increase the state’s Medicaid costs by at least $55 million when it’s fully implemented in 2021, reported Moody’s, a New York-based business considered one of the “Big Three” credit rating agencies.

The state could also face risk based on what happens at the federal level, Moody’s said.

“The larger risk to the state is that the federal government could reduce Medicaid funding,” the agency said. “If funding for the federal expansion program is cut or eliminated, Maine would face budget pressure if it decides to maintain similar levels of coverage.”

LePage has said he won’t implement the voter-approved expansion until it’s fully funded by the state Legislature. His office said Wednesday it expects to see more critical reviews of the expansion from credit agencies. LePage called expansion “fiscally irresponsible” and “ruinous to Maine’s budget” Wednesday.

About 268,000 people currently receive Medicaid in the state. Medicaid expansion supporters in at least two other states, Idaho and Utah, are also looking to get the question on public ballots.

A spokesman for Mainers For Health Care, which campaigned for the Medicaid question to pass, said LePage is touting the Moody’s report to drum up unfounded fears about the cost of expanding health coverage.

“National, multi-state and single-state studies show that states expanding Medicaid under the ACA have realized budget savings, revenue gains and overall economic growth,” said the spokesman, David Farmer.


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