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February 28, 2008
The delegate count

I've obtained a copy of a Democratic spreadsheet of a possible scenario if the Democratic nomination race does not end after March 4, when Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island and Vermont hold primaries.

Assuming Sens. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., and Barack Obama, D-Ill., split - Obama wins in Texas and Vermont, Clinton wins in Ohio and Rhode Island, Obama won't greatly expand his lead.

If Clinton decides to soldier on, pundits, strategists and the media are looking to Pennsylvania's primary on April 22 to decide the race. Assuming Pennsylvania does little to clarify matters, here's what to look for afterwards.

Wyoming, March 8
Mississippi, March 11
Pennsylvania, April 22
Indiana and North Carolina, May 6
West Va., May 13
Kentucky and Oregon, May 20
Montana and South Dakota, June 3
Puerto Rico, June 7

Posted at 10:29 AM

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Tom Bell has covered numerous beats for the Portland Press Herald since 1999, including education, marine, business and the Maine Legislature. He worked nine years at the Anchorage Daily News, including a year as a correspondent in the Russian Far East following the break-up of the Soviet Union.


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