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First, let’s look at the dry air. In Albany, the dew points are in the 50s and skies are partly sunny.  That dry is slowly making its way east and will be here later today and this evening.  The leading edge of the dry air is marked by a cold front.  The front is moving at a snail’s pace so the exact timing of its passage isn’t easily predicted.  

 

Being on the warm side of the front, for much of the day, means we will experience another warm and humid afternoon with highs getting into the upper 70s and  lower 80s.  As the front pushes through, there could be a quick pop-up shower, but the chances are low it will happen.

 

The front will pass offshore early tonight and all areas will enjoy a much more comfortable night.  I can’t remember the last time I forecast anyone to have temperatures fall into the 40s, but that is exactly what we have for Thursday morning.   Along the coast, lows will be in the lower and middle 50s.

 

My next forecast challenge comes quickly tomorrow and Friday.  This slow moving front is going to stop and get stuck just offshore.   Fronts that get stuck are perfect breeding grounds for clouds and precipitation.  Areas of both will ride northward along the front.  The image below shows what the radar could look like, according to one computer Model, later tomorrow evening.  Notice all the rain just off the entire Atlantic coast.  Any slight deviation westward pulls all that rain into eastern New England.  This is a real possibility and will have to be watched carefully.   If we end up with rain, it would tomorrow afternoon into Friday afternoon.  The best chance for rain is of course closer to the coast and points south.  Temperatures tomorrow will be much cooler as we have an onshore wind.

 

Along with the chance for rain will come more cloudiness.   Neither Thursday nor Friday will feature 100% bright blue skies, but at least it won’t be hot and humid.  I think that tomorrow will be a nicer day with more in the way of sunshine, while Friday sees a thicker cloud cover. It just seems like we can’t get a string of nice days this summer.  It’s either too hot, too humid, too cloudy or too wet.

 

There will be a quick period of dry air for Saturday when there will be some sunshine and pleasantly warm temperatures.  I don’t expect much humidity on that day either.  Sunday another front approaches from the west and brings a few more clouds and the chance for a shower or storm.   Highs over the weekend will near 80F.