PATRIOTS THIS WEEK

Texans at Patriots, 1 p.m. Sunday (CBS)

Spread: Patriots by 6

Outlook: Upset Alert! But I won’t pull the trigger on this one. Going with Tom Brady at home is a pretty hard/fast rule of mine. But Deshaun Watson and J.J. Watt both healthy again makes Houston a whole ‘nuther team.

Prediction: Patriots, 27-20

GAME OF THE WEEK

Jaguars at Giants, 1 p.m. Sunday (FOX)

Spread: Jaguars by 3

Outlook: It’s an oddball Game of the Week. I know. But it’s Jaguar Jalen (Mouth of the South) Ramsey defending the Giants’ healthy-again Odell Beckham. Beyond that one-on-one, we’re curious if Jax can sustain the progress it made last season, and if NYG can have that progress with a boost from top pick RB Saquon Barkley.

Prediction: Jaguars, 21-17

UPSET OF THE WEEK

Bengals at Colts, 1 p.m. Sunday

Spread: Colts by 21/2

Outlook: Has Andrew Luck stored up all this magic during his 19 months’ injury absence? Cincy has won three of past four over Indy.

Prediction: Bengals, 30-20

Other games

At Dolphins over Titans (-1), 20-17: I think Kenyan Drake and a judiciously deployed Frank Gore could be a very interesting, successful running back tandem. And I believe the Dolphins in general are better than the doomsaying I have been hearing.

Steelers (-4) over At Browns, 28-23: Pitt’s good even without Le’Veon Bell. Cleveland is legit improved and has a medium outright upset shot.

At Vikings (-6 1/2) over 49ers, 38-16: All eyes on the arms as pricey Kirk Cousins debuts for Vikes and Jimmy Garoppolo begins his first full season piloting the Niners.

At Saints (-9 1/2) over Buccaneers, 31-17: With Saints RB Mark Ingram and Bucs QB Jameis Winston both suspended, give me Drew Brees over Ryan Fitzpatrick, please.

At Ravens (-7 1/2) over Bills, 21-3: Buffs are starting Nathan Peterman at QB. Josh Allen waits in wings, as does Lamar Jackson behind Joe Flacco. The backup QBs here are more interesting.

At Chargers (-3 1/2) over Chiefs, 27-20: Patrick Mahomes has nice weapons in Kareem Hunt, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. Gives visitors a real upset shot here. But I see Philip Rivers feasting.

At Broncos (-3) over Seahawks, 23-19: Denver is hoping it bought the 2017 Case Keenum, not the journeyman who preceded him. Bad sign if he doesn’t fare well versus a ravaged Seattle D.

At Cardinals (-1) over Washington, 19-17: Washington is 0-4 in openers under Jay Gruden. It’s Alex Smith versus Sam Bradford in duel of new QBs. But bigger difference is healthy David Johnson over ghost of Adrian Peterson at RB.

At Panthers (-3) over Cowboys, 27-23: Young Cowboys don’t have a lot of firepower after Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott, but Cam Newton and Christian McCaffery are working behind an injury-wracked O-line. Home field tips the pick.

At Packers (-7 1/2) over Bears, 27-21: Sunday prime-time stage anoints the comeback of Aaron Rodgers and Bears debut of high-priced sackman Khalil Mack.

At Lions (-61/2) over Jets, 24-20: Early of two Monday games introduces new Motown coach Matt Patricia – and Jets’ top pick Sam Darnold as the youngest season-opening starting QB in NFL history.

Rams (-4) over At Raiders, 34-17: Monday nightcap might find Jon Gruden scrambling to get back in the TV booth again. Rams’ league-leading offense should be formidable again.

Last year: 156-100 overall; 102-137-17 vs. spread

By Greg Cote, Miami Herald