Trade tensions sank stocks on Tuesday as the Trump administration promised to make good on its threats to raise tariffs on Chinese imports beginning Friday.
The sell-off was broad and deep, reaching into technology, chips, industrials and materials. The Dow Jones industrial average plunged 473 points, about 1.8 percent, to close at 25,965. The blue chip measure was down 648 points at its low. All 30 Dow components were in the red, with aerospace giant Boeing the biggest drag after a downgrade by Barclays. The financial firm said a poll of airline passengers showed many people avoiding the 737 Max.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 retreated 1.65 percent, to 2,884, in its biggest drop since March 22. All 11 sectors were in the red, with information technology and industrials leading the drop because they stand to be burned in a protracted U.S.-China trade fight. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was also hit hard, dropping nearly 2 percent to 7,963 on a retreat by chipmakers who rely on China for a large portion of their revenue.
The three major U.S. indexes had been near all-time highs just last Friday, with the Dow up 12 percent for the year, the S&P 500 up more than 15 percent, and the Nasdaq ahead 20 percent.
”The market has risen significantly and steadily since right after Christmas on the Federal Reserve pivot and significant optimism over a trade deal,” said Ivan Feinseth, chief investment officer of Tigress Financial Partners. “If the trade deal gets derailed, the market is going to reset back to where it was.”
Tuesday’s drop followed a feisty Monday in which shares slid 471 points before rallying to finish the day down 66 points on news that a top Chinese trade official would be in Washington by the end of the week to lead the talks for his side.
But there was no U-turn on Tuesday as the sides appear to be hardening their respective stances on trade issues.
“This is follow-through on the same concerns that hit the market yesterday,” said Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research. “Investors have thought some more about the risk of a no-deal with China, and they continue to back away from stocks until this issue is resolved one way or another.”
After markets closed Monday, senior Trump administration officials accused Beijing of “reneging” on commitments made earlier in trade talks and reaffirmed their plan to raise tariffs.
“Over the course of the last week or so, we have seen an erosion in commitments by China. I would say retreating from specific commitments that had already been made,” said Robert E. Lighthizer, the president’s chief trade negotiator. “That, in our view, is unacceptable.”
The stock market fire sale was initially ignited by weekend tweets from President Trump, who threatened to increase tariffs from 10 percent to 25 percent on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods on Friday. He also said a new 25 percent fee on all remaining Chinese imports would follow “shortly” thereafter. The surprise move jeopardized talks as the two largest economies in the world appeared headed for a deal.
The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), known as the “fear gauge,” rose to its highest point since January, a sign that Wall Street is throwing a mini-tantrum over Trump’s trade policies.
Boeing’s downward spiral in the Dow was followed by United Technologies, Apple, Home Depot and Caterpillar.
Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance, said people should get used to the return of the market roller coaster after four quiet months.
“The volatility that we had been telling our clients to expect is now back,” Zaccarelli said in an email. But he was bullish that some sort of deal will get done because both Trump and President Xi Jinping have much to gain.
“The former is facing re-election in the next 18 months and the latter is struggling to stabilize his country’s economy,” Zaccarelli said.”We believe we will ultimately see a trade deal made with China this year.”
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