House Republican leadership traveled to southwestern Pennsylvania on Friday to unveil their “Commitment to America,” a policy platform broadly outlining the party’s goals should they reclaim control of the chamber after the midterm elections.

“We wanted to lay out a bold conservative vision to show the country there’s hope again. There’s not just one direction that’s far left,” said House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy. “The Commitment to America is going to show the country: If you give us a Republican majority in the House, these are the things we will do.”

The plan centers on politically beneficial policies that would be policy longshots even if Republicans take back both the House and the Senate this fall, promising lowered inflation, increased fossil fuel drilling, a return to Trump-era immigration policies and an anti-crime agenda that includes a “crackdown on prosecutors and district attorneys who refuse to prosecute crimes.”

The platform also includes red meat for the GOP base, promising to boost parental control over school curricula, investigate the origins of COVID-19, defend the Second Amendment and ensure “that only women can compete in women’s sports,” McCarthy said.

“I am a mom to my 1-year-old, Sam, and I will tell you, moms and dads across this country, they know that parents are the primary stakeholders in their kids’ education, which is why we will pass a parents’ bill of rights,” said Conference Chair Elise Stefanik, R-N.Y.

The announcement comes as once-rosy predictions of a sweeping red tide in November’s elections have faded in recent weeks and Democrats have outperformed expectations in late-in-the-cycle special elections this summer. President Joe Biden’s approval rating – a leading indicator of his party’s chances in a midterm election – has rebounded of late, the enthusiasm gap between Republican and Democratic voters has narrowed, and polls now show independents edging toward Democrats. Still, most prognosticators believe the GOP will narrowly win the House this year.

While inflation rose sharply over much of the past year, the last two months have shown a leveling off, with little-to-no month-to-month increases, driven in large part by a sharp decline in gas prices. At the same time, Democrats have strung together a series of legislative wins recently, including a major climate change and health care bill.

“That very first day that we’re sworn in, you’ll see that it all changes, because our very first bill, we’re going to repeal 87,000 IRS agents,” McCarthy said, repeating a widely debunked and inflated figure.

The plan also promises to dial back spending, castigating Democrats for passing the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan in March 2021. During the Trump administration – including two years of unified GOP control in the 115th Congress – federal spending grew every year, even before accounting for about $4 trillion in COVID-19 relief spending enacted with overwhelming bipartisan support in 2020.

Republicans also pledged to support the hiring of 200,000 new police officers by providing hiring bonuses, blaming an increase in crime since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic on liberal policies in Democratic-led cities. Violent crime, however, is up across the nation, including in rural areas. On Thursday, the House passed legislation that would provide smaller police departments more funds for recruiting and training officers. While bipartisan, more Republicans (55) than Democrats (9) opposed the bill, a version of which passed the Senate unanimously in August.

Unlike the GOP blueprint that National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman Rick Scott of Florida released earlier this year, the House leadership’s plan won praise from Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who tweeted that it would “bring the people’s priorities back into the people’s House.”

The Commitment to America is roughly modeled after then-Rep. Newt Gingrich’s “Contract with America” in 1994. While that platform helped Republicans go on to gain 54 seats and control of the House, the ensuing governance period was riven by deadlock, government shutdowns and the unpopular impeachment of President Bill Clinton.

The new House GOP plan doesn’t shy away from abortion, despite it having become the No. 1 issue for Democrats in this election after the Supreme Court’s decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization. The CTA’s “pocket card” promises to “protect the lives of unborn children and their mothers.” The Associated Press recently reported that Democrats have spent $124 million in television ads referencing abortion, more than double the party’s second-most mentioned topic, “character.”

During Democrats’ prebuttal press call Thursday evening, Rep. Sara Jacobs of California noted that Republicans have long sought to ban abortion. “They are hellbent on stripping us of our freedom to make decisions about our bodies, decisions that should only be made between a person and their doctor, and decisions that out-of-touch politicians – and frankly, any politician – should have no part in,” she said.

Oversight on the menu

Even if the GOP does reclaim control of both chambers, most expect a light lawmaking agenda, given Biden’s ability to veto legislation. “In split government, this is going to be a very major oversight agenda,” outgoing House Administration Committee ranking member Rodney Davis, R-Ill., recently told Roll Call. “You’re not going to pass a lot of major bills.”

Instead of sending legislation to the White House, a GOP-controlled Congress will send subpoenas; oversight will dominate the schedule. The Republican House plan highlights what the party expects to investigate: the chaotic withdrawal of U.S. and allied forces from Afghanistan, federal agencies tasked with combating fentanyl trafficking, and the origins of COVID-19.

The Friday event doubled as a rally for McCarthy’s bid to be speaker of the House next year, should his party prevail in November. Republican Rep. Guy Reschenthaler, who represents the working-class town where the event was held, introduced McCarthy by highlighting the caucus’ unity in advance of the elections.

“We’ve got members here from New York all the way to the border with Texas’ Tony Gonzales. We’ve got people that have different approaches, all the way from Ohio’s David Joyce to Georgia’s Marjorie Taylor Greene, but we’re all united behind Kevin McCarthy,” Reschenthaler said. “He’s the one who unified the party. He’s the one that came up with this plan.”

That unity may be a double-edged sword for battleground Republicans, whom Democrats have tried to link to Greene’s vituperative brand of conservativism.

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